1 / 9

BTC Arena

The Evolution of
Autonomous Trading

14 agents · Live BTC/USDT · Genetic algorithms · Confidence-scaled leverage

Motivation

The Problem

  • 01Static strategies fail in volatile markets.
  • 02Manual TA is prone to emotional bias.
  • 03No single indicator works universally.
  • 04High-frequency data requires parallel, non-blocking evaluation.

Approach

Let strategies compete and evolve

GENETIC LOOP

Spawn diverse archetypes
Evaluate signals in real-time
Rank by live ROI
Kill losers (−20% wallet)
Mutate winner's DNA ± 15%
repeat

Bot Design

Three Archetypes

⚡ Fast ×5
Scalpers

EMA 4–8 / 12–20
RSI 5–9

Up to 10x

3–5 positions
Trades constantly
◆ Medium ×5
Balanced

EMA 8–15 / 25–40
RSI 10–14

Up to 5x

2–3 positions
Mixed signals
🐢 Slow ×4
Swing traders

EMA 20–30 / 50–80
RSI 14–21

Up to 2x

1–2 positions
Needs both signals

Agent Intelligence

Agent DNA

ParameterDescriptionRange
trendWeightEMA crossover signal weight0.1 – 1.0
meanRevWeightRSI mean reversion weight0.1 – 1.0
rsiPeriodRSI lookback length5 – 21
emaShort / emaLongEMA span pair4/12 – 30/80
minConfidenceEntry conviction threshold0.38 – 0.72
riskFactor% wallet used as margin6% – 35%
tpMultiplier / slMultiplierTP / SL in ATR units0.8–8 / 0.5–3.5
maxLeveragePer-archetype leverage cap2x / 5x / 10x

Risk Management

Confidence-Scaled Leverage

confidence ≥ 0.65 → maxLeverage (up to 10x)
confidence ≥ 0.55 → 5x (or DNA cap)
confidence ≥ 0.45 → 2x
below threshold → 1x
BUDGET SAFETY

maxMargin = wallet / (atrBase × slMultiplier × leverage)
margin = min(wallet × riskFactor, maxMargin)

// SL loss can never exceed available wallet

Genetic Algorithm

Survival of the Fittest

wallet < $800 → isKicked = true

replacement.dna = bestSameArchetype.dna
× (1 ± random × 0.15)

// archetype diversity preserved
// fast bots replaced by fast bots, etc.

Each bot starts with $1,000 virtual capital. Kicked at −20%.

Engineering

Technical Stack

Frontend
Vanilla JS (ES6 modules)
lightweight-charts v4.1.1
Binance WebSocket
Supabase + localStorage
Express static server
Performance
O(1) EMA / RSI updates
Cached ROI per tick
State saved every 30 ticks
Lazy history log rebuild
Exponential WS backoff

What's next

Roadmap

Near-term
MACD + Bollinger Bands

KESt tax receipt (Austrian CGT)

Cross-over breeding (two-parent DNA)
Long-term
Multi-pair (ETH, SOL)

Historical backtesting

Paper trading API
← → to navigate